Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Assured Guaranty Ltd. en bref

Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) is currently trading at 66,86 € with a market capitalization of 3,0 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 8.78x, with a forward P/E of 10x. The 52-week range spans from 63,50 € to 80,64 €; the current price is 17.1% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at -6.2%. The net profit margin stands at 50.98%.

💰 Dividende

Assured Guaranty Ltd. pays an annual dividend of 1,33 € per share, representing a yield of 1.98%. The payout ratio stands at 16.04%.

📊 Avis des analystes

3 analystes évaluent Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) au consensus : None. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 80,57 €, soit un potentiel de +20.52% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 69,81 € à 89,89 €.

Assured Guaranty Ltd. : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO) operates in the Financial Services — specifically Insurance - Specialty — and is headquartered in Bermuda. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

With a gross margin near 93.24%, the company sits in the top tier of its industry — these are the kinds of structural margins that protect earnings during downturns. Free cash flow is positive and net margins stand at 50.98%, meaning reported earnings translate into real cash that can fund buybacks, dividends or strategic acquisitions. Our valuation screen flags the stock as undervalued relative to its fundamentals — multiples are running below where the cash flow profile would normally justify.

Le scénario baissier

Revenue is contracting at -6.2% year-over-year — until that trend reverses, valuation is exposed to further downgrades.

Valorisation en contexte

With a PEG ratio of 0.33, the price-to-earnings multiple is actually below the company's growth rate — classic value-meets-growth territory that Peter Lynch would have called a 'GARP' opportunity.

À surveiller

• The price sits in the lower quartile of the 52-week range — value hunters often start scaling in around this zone if fundamentals hold.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 20.52% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price is below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d below 200d — a bearish picture (death-cross alignment).

Profil de risque

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, elevated short interest (6.28%).

Trading Data

💵 Dividend Info

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