AppFolio

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

AppFolio en bref

AppFolio (APPF) is currently trading at 132,21 € with a market capitalization of 4,7 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 36.07x, with a forward P/E of 18.42x. The 52-week range spans from 124,56 € to 284,53 €; the current price is 53.5% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +20.4%. The net profit margin stands at 15.27%.

💰 Dividende

AppFolio currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Avis des analystes

8 analystes évaluent AppFolio (APPF) au consensus : None. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 200,06 €, soit un potentiel de +51.32% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 161,45 € à 261,80 €.

AppFolio : la thèse d'investissement en détail

AppFolio (APPF) operates in the Technology — specifically Software - Application — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Revenue is growing at a healthy 20.4% pace year-over-year, suggesting the business model continues to find new customers and pricing power. Earnings growth of 37.2% is outpacing revenue, a sign of operational leverage — fixed costs are being absorbed across a larger base. With a gross margin near 63.75%, the company sits in the top tier of its industry — these are the kinds of structural margins that protect earnings during downturns.

Le scénario baissier

Short interest sits at 11.37% of float — a meaningful contingent of professionals is positioned for the share to fall, which deserves attention even if their thesis may turn out to be wrong. Our valuation screen flags the stock as overvalued — current multiples imply the business needs to deliver well above its recent trajectory to justify the price.

Valorisation en contexte

At a PEG of 7.45, investors are paying more than three times the growth rate for each unit of earnings — that pricing assumes growth not only continues but accelerates from here. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 29.86x reflects rich expectations — historically, multiples at this level have proven hard to maintain for more than a few quarters.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 18.42x is meaningfully below the trailing 36.07x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The price sits in the lower quartile of the 52-week range — value hunters often start scaling in around this zone if fundamentals hold.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 51.32% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price is below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d below 200d — a bearish picture (death-cross alignment).

Profil de risque

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, elevated short interest (11.37%).

Trading Data

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