Apollo Commercial Real Estate F

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Apollo Commercial Real Estate F en bref

Apollo Commercial Real Estate F (ARI) is currently trading at 9,44 € with a market capitalization of 1,2 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 13.37x, with a forward P/E of 11.59x. The 52-week range spans from 8,27 € to 9,80 €; the current price is 3.6% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +0.2%. The net profit margin stands at 47.29%.

💰 Dividende

Apollo Commercial Real Estate F currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Avis des analystes

4 analystes évaluent Apollo Commercial Real Estate F (ARI) au consensus : Achat Fort. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 10,13 €, soit un potentiel de +7.34% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 9,59 € à 10,46 €.

Apollo Commercial Real Estate F : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Apollo Commercial Real Estate F (ARI) operates in the Real Estate — specifically REIT - Mortgage — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

With a gross margin near 69.21%, the company sits in the top tier of its industry — these are the kinds of structural margins that protect earnings during downturns. Our valuation screen flags the stock as undervalued relative to its fundamentals — multiples are running below where the cash flow profile would normally justify.

Le scénario baissier

Revenue growth has slowed to just 0.2%, which is below nominal GDP — the business is no longer outgrowing the broader economy. The debt-to-equity ratio of 450.28% is elevated, meaning the company relies heavily on creditors — refinancing terms will become more important than operational performance in the next economic downturn.

Valorisation en contexte

The PEG ratio at 1.33 sits in the reasonable zone — the price tag is roughly aligned with the company's growth profile, neither punishing nor euphoric.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 11.59x is meaningfully below the trailing 13.37x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price shows short-term weakness (below 50d MA) but is still in a longer-term uptrend (above 200d MA).

Profil de risque

The data points to market-like volatility, elevated short interest (5.42%), higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

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