Alstom

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Alstom en bref

Alstom (ALO.PA) is currently trading at 16,20 € with a market capitalization of 6,5 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 27x, with a forward P/E of 7.76x. The 52-week range spans from 14,72 € to 30,23 €; the current price is 46.4% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +4.1%. The net profit margin stands at 1.69%.

💰 Dividende

Alstom currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Avis des analystes

14 analystes évaluent Alstom (ALO.PA) au consensus : Acheter. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 21,68 €, soit un potentiel de +33.82% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 10,00 € à 28,00 €.

Alstom : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Alstom (ALO.PA) operates in the Industrials — specifically Railroads — and is headquartered in France. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Wall Street consensus sits at Buy with an average price target implying roughly 33.82% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive.

Le scénario baissier

Revenue growth has slowed to just 4.1%, which is below nominal GDP — the business is no longer outgrowing the broader economy. With a net margin of just 1.69%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss.

Valorisation en contexte

With a PEG ratio of 0.54, the price-to-earnings multiple is actually below the company's growth rate — classic value-meets-growth territory that Peter Lynch would have called a 'GARP' opportunity. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 7.61x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 7.76x is meaningfully below the trailing 27x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The price sits in the lower quartile of the 52-week range — value hunters often start scaling in around this zone if fundamentals hold.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 33.82% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price is below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d below 200d — a bearish picture (death-cross alignment).

Profil de risque

The data points to market-like volatility.

Trading Data

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