Vistra Corp.

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Vistra Corp. en bref

Vistra Corp. (VST) is currently trading at 142,88 € with a market capitalization of 48,2 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 27.38x, with a forward P/E of 14.9x. The 52-week range spans from 115,77 € to 191,83 €; the current price is 25.5% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +43.4%. The net profit margin stands at 11.53%.

💰 Dividende

Vistra Corp. currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Avis des analystes

18 analystes évaluent Vistra Corp. (VST) au consensus : Achat Fort. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 194,61 €, soit un potentiel de +36.2% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 86,39 € à 279,26 €.

Vistra Corp. : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Vistra Corp. (VST) operates in the Utilities — specifically Utilities - Independent Power Producers — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Top-line momentum is unusually strong with revenue expanding 43.4% year-over-year, a pace that puts the company well above the market average and signals genuine demand traction rather than mere cyclical tailwind. Return on equity of 42.9% places management among the most capital-efficient operators in the public market — every euro of shareholder capital is working hard. Wall Street consensus sits at Strong Buy with an average price target implying roughly 36.2% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive.

Le scénario baissier

The debt-to-equity ratio of 355.19% is elevated, meaning the company relies heavily on creditors — refinancing terms will become more important than operational performance in the next economic downturn.

Valorisation en contexte

With a PEG ratio of 0.47, the price-to-earnings multiple is actually below the company's growth rate — classic value-meets-growth territory that Peter Lynch would have called a 'GARP' opportunity.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 14.9x is meaningfully below the trailing 27.38x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 36.2% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

The price is in a transition zone relative to the moving averages — no clear signal.

Profil de risque

The data points to market-like volatility, elevated short interest (5.39%), higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

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