Freshpet

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Freshpet en bref

Freshpet (FRSH) is currently trading at 7,73 € with a market capitalization of 2,1 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 14.52x, with a forward P/E of 11.09x. The 52-week range spans from 5,93 € to 13,50 €; the current price is 42.7% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +16.5%. The net profit margin stands at 20.69%.

💰 Dividende

Freshpet currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Avis des analystes

12 analystes évaluent Freshpet (FRSH) au consensus : None. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 10,25 €, soit un potentiel de +32.62% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 6,98 € à 13,96 €.

Freshpet : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Freshpet (FRSH) operates in the Technology — specifically Software - Application — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Revenue is growing at a healthy 16.5% pace year-over-year, suggesting the business model continues to find new customers and pricing power. With a gross margin near 84.97%, the company sits in the top tier of its industry — these are the kinds of structural margins that protect earnings during downturns. Free cash flow is positive and net margins stand at 20.69%, meaning reported earnings translate into real cash that can fund buybacks, dividends or strategic acquisitions.

Valorisation en contexte

With a PEG ratio of 0.51, the price-to-earnings multiple is actually below the company's growth rate — classic value-meets-growth territory that Peter Lynch would have called a 'GARP' opportunity. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 54.43x reflects rich expectations — historically, multiples at this level have proven hard to maintain for more than a few quarters.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 11.09x is meaningfully below the trailing 14.52x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The price sits in the lower quartile of the 52-week range — value hunters often start scaling in around this zone if fundamentals hold.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 32.62% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price is below both the 50- and 200-day moving averages, with 50d below 200d — a bearish picture (death-cross alignment).

Profil de risque

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, elevated short interest (9.24%).

Trading Data

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