Commvault Systems, Inc.

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Commvault Systems, Inc. en bref

Commvault Systems, Inc. (CVLT) is currently trading at 113,47 € with a market capitalization of 4,7 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 82.3x, with a forward P/E of 21.35x. The 52-week range spans from 62,61 € to 175,13 €; the current price is 35.2% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +13.3%. The net profit margin stands at 5.97%.

💰 Dividende

Commvault Systems, Inc. currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Avis des analystes

15 analystes évaluent Commvault Systems, Inc. (CVLT) au consensus : Acheter. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 117,99 €, soit un potentiel de +3.98% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 87,27 € à 152,72 €.

Commvault Systems, Inc. : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Commvault Systems, Inc. (CVLT) operates in the Technology — specifically Software - Application — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Revenue is growing at a healthy 13.3% pace year-over-year, suggesting the business model continues to find new customers and pricing power. With a gross margin near 81.15%, the company sits in the top tier of its industry — these are the kinds of structural margins that protect earnings during downturns. Return on equity of 42.49% places management among the most capital-efficient operators in the public market — every euro of shareholder capital is working hard.

Le scénario baissier

A trailing P/E above 50 combined with revenue growth below 20% is a dangerous combination — the market is paying a steep growth multiple for what is, by the data, only moderately fast expansion. The debt-to-equity ratio of 12260.49% is elevated, meaning the company relies heavily on creditors — refinancing terms will become more important than operational performance in the next economic downturn. Our valuation screen flags the stock as overvalued — current multiples imply the business needs to deliver well above its recent trajectory to justify the price.

Valorisation en contexte

At a PEG of 3.17, investors are paying more than three times the growth rate for each unit of earnings — that pricing assumes growth not only continues but accelerates from here. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 43.56x reflects rich expectations — historically, multiples at this level have proven hard to maintain for more than a few quarters.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 21.35x is meaningfully below the trailing 82.3x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

The price is in a transition zone relative to the moving averages — no clear signal.

Profil de risque

The data points to relatively defensive market behavior, elevated short interest (9.02%), higher leverage relative to equity.

Trading Data

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