Century Aluminum Company

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

Century Aluminum Company en bref

Century Aluminum Company (CENX) is currently trading at 45,08 € with a market capitalization of 4,5 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 15.39x, with a forward P/E of 3.78x. The 52-week range spans from 14,46 € to 61,40 €; the current price is 26.6% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +2.4%. The net profit margin stands at 13.68%.

💰 Dividende

Century Aluminum Company currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Avis des analystes

3 analystes évaluent Century Aluminum Company (CENX) au consensus : Achat Fort. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 70,90 €, soit un potentiel de +57.29% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 65,38 € à 74,97 €.

Century Aluminum Company : la thèse d'investissement en détail

Century Aluminum Company (CENX) operates in the Basic Materials — specifically Aluminum — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Earnings growth of 1009.8% is outpacing revenue, a sign of operational leverage — fixed costs are being absorbed across a larger base. Return on equity of 32.26% places management among the most capital-efficient operators in the public market — every euro of shareholder capital is working hard. Wall Street consensus sits at Strong Buy with an average price target implying roughly 57.29% upside from current levels — analyst sentiment is firmly constructive.

Le scénario baissier

Revenue growth has slowed to just 2.4%, which is below nominal GDP — the business is no longer outgrowing the broader economy. With a beta near 1.92, the share price moves sharply more than the broader market — drawdowns in market corrections can be unusually severe and require strong nerves. Short interest sits at 11.71% of float — a meaningful contingent of professionals is positioned for the share to fall, which deserves attention even if their thesis may turn out to be wrong.

Valorisation en contexte

With a PEG ratio of 0.06, the price-to-earnings multiple is actually below the company's growth rate — classic value-meets-growth territory that Peter Lynch would have called a 'GARP' opportunity.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 3.78x is meaningfully below the trailing 15.39x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The analyst consensus price target implies 57.29% upside — if the next two quarters confirm the underlying thesis, target hikes typically follow.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

Price shows short-term weakness (below 50d MA) but is still in a longer-term uptrend (above 200d MA).

Profil de risque

The data points to above-average price swings, elevated short interest (11.71%).

Trading Data

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