American Airlines Group, Inc.

Valuation Analysis

About the Company

American Airlines Group, Inc. en bref

American Airlines Group, Inc. (AAL) is currently trading at 13,94 € with a market capitalization of 9,2 Md €. The trailing P/E ratio stands at 51.58x, with a forward P/E of 7.18x. The 52-week range spans from 8,80 € to 14,38 €; the current price is 3.1% below the yearly high. Year-over-year revenue growth stands at +10.8%. The net profit margin stands at 0.36%.

💰 Dividende

American Airlines Group, Inc. currently does not pay a dividend. The company typically reinvests its earnings into growth initiatives and product development.

📊 Avis des analystes

24 analystes évaluent American Airlines Group, Inc. (AAL) au consensus : Acheter. L'objectif de cours moyen est de 13,61 €, soit un potentiel de -2.37% par rapport au cours actuel. La fourchette des objectifs de cours des analystes va de 8,72 € à 20,92 €.

American Airlines Group, Inc. : la thèse d'investissement en détail

American Airlines Group, Inc. (AAL) operates in the Industrials — specifically Airlines — and is headquartered in United States. Below is a structured read of the investment case built directly from the latest fundamentals, valuation multiples, analyst positioning and smart-money flows. Each section translates raw numbers into the investment logic they imply, so you can decide whether the risk/reward fits your portfolio.

Le scénario haussier

Revenue is growing at a healthy 10.8% pace year-over-year, suggesting the business model continues to find new customers and pricing power.

Le scénario baissier

With a net margin of just 0.36%, the business has little room to absorb cost shocks or pricing pressure — a single bad quarter can swing the company to a loss. A trailing P/E above 50 combined with revenue growth below 20% is a dangerous combination — the market is paying a steep growth multiple for what is, by the data, only moderately fast expansion. Short interest sits at 11.39% of float — a meaningful contingent of professionals is positioned for the share to fall, which deserves attention even if their thesis may turn out to be wrong.

Valorisation en contexte

With a PEG ratio of 0.87, the price-to-earnings multiple is actually below the company's growth rate — classic value-meets-growth territory that Peter Lynch would have called a 'GARP' opportunity. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 9.13x is below the historical equity-market average — strategic acquirers would find the cash-flow profile attractive at this level.

À surveiller

• The forward P/E of 7.18x is meaningfully below the trailing 51.58x — analysts expect earnings to step up; the next earnings release is the test.
• The share is trading at 92% of its 52-week range — a break above the recent high opens technical upside, a failure here often invites profit-taking.

Thèse d'investissement : forces et faiblesses

Aperçu technique

The price is in a transition zone relative to the moving averages — no clear signal.

Profil de risque

The data points to market-like volatility, elevated short interest (11.39%).

Trading Data

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